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15
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?
Adults 65+
43.1
Adults 18+
21.4
Children 6 months to 17 years
11.8
54
comments
283
forecasters
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
52%
chance
8
comments
13
forecasters
How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years?
21
comments
299
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
26%
chance
251
comments
1.6k
forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
28%
chance
44
comments
432
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%
chance
20
comments
185
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
23
comments
86
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Current estimate
77.8 cases
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
13%
13%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
23
comments
413
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
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