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US Democracy Index

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What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

Adults 65+41.6

Adults 18+20.9

Children 6 months to 17 years11.6

2 comments

9 forecasters

What will the US population be in these years, in millions?

2 comments

11 forecasters

What will be the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States in these years?

3 comments

5 forecasters

How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?

Engineering4575

Physics548

Microbiology and immunology543

4 comments

78 forecasters

What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?

254 comments

1.6k forecasters

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

25%chance

Key Factors

44 comments

436 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

30%chance

21 comments

309 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance

29 comments

45 forecasters

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

20305%

20261%

2023result: No

20 comments

187 forecasters

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

What will the US population be in these years, in millions?

What will be the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States in these years?

How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?

What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

What will the US population be in these years, in millions?

What will be the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States in these years?

How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?

What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?