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81
comments
625
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
8
comments
46
forecasters
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?
Crewed spaceflight
24.7
Space station visits
19.4
Lunar exploration
4.7
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
40
comments
178
forecasters
When will the 1,000th person reach space?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
5
comments
7
forecasters
How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?
1
comment
16
forecasters
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?
65%
chance
2
comments
27
forecasters
What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?
1
comment
25
forecasters
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
Conventional
90.2%
Air-breathing
2.1%
Thermal rockets
1.2%
6 others
6%
4
comments
9
forecasters
What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?
Current estimate
60.6%
8
comments
45
forecasters
By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?
5%
chance
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