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5 comments
8 forecasters

How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%
81 comments
625 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
4 comments
9 forecasters

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

Current estimate
60.6%
1 comment
16 forecasters

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

65%chance
1 comment
25 forecasters

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

Conventional90.2%
Air-breathing2.1%
Thermal rockets1.2%
2 comments
27 forecasters

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?

8 comments
45 forecasters

By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?

5%chance

Experimenting With Metaculus Communities — Collaborate With Us

7
88 comments

Forecasting OWID Commenting Prize Winners

9
33 comments
Forecasting Our World in Data