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2 comments
6 forecasters

Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a federal court ruling in the following years?

3 comments
130 forecasters

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

3%chance
2% this week
22 comments
55 forecasters

What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

The case is settled56.1%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win23.5%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million10.2%
0 comments
19 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?

75%chance
8 comments
83 forecasters

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

9%chance
4 comments
117 forecasters

Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?

52%chance
26 comments
31 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

50%chance
8 comments
30 forecasters

Will Harvard and MIT win their July 2020 lawsuit against the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement?

Ambiguous
8 comments
17 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

80%chance