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2
comments
6
forecasters
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will a U.S. federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a federal court ruling in the following years?
3
comments
130
forecasters
Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?
3%
chance
2%
this week
22
comments
55
forecasters
What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
The case is settled
56.1%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win
23.5%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million
10.2%
2 others
10%
0
comments
19
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?
75%
chance
8
comments
83
forecasters
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
9%
chance
4
comments
117
forecasters
Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?
52%
chance
26
comments
31
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
8
comments
30
forecasters
Will Harvard and MIT win their July 2020 lawsuit against the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement?
Ambiguous
8
comments
17
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
80%
chance
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