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33
comments
69
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
12
comments
18
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
82%
chance
8
comments
98
forecasters
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
1%
chance
0
comments
5
forecasters
What will be the outcome of Disney and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?
The case is settled
30.5%
Other ruling
25.4%
Disney/Universal win ≥$50m
20.5%
2 others
24%
14
comments
47
forecasters
Will the Israeli High Court uphold the "reasonableness" law?
result
No
12
comments
77
forecasters
A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious
result
No
3
comments
28
forecasters
When will U.S. law recognize an artificial entity as a natural person?
Current estimate
Jan 2047