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33 comments
69 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

50%chance
12 comments
18 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

82%chance
8 comments
98 forecasters

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

1%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters

What will be the outcome of Disney and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?

The case is settled30.5%
Other ruling25.4%
Disney/Universal win ≥$50m20.5%
14 comments
47 forecasters

Will the Israeli High Court uphold the "reasonableness" law?

resultNo
12 comments
77 forecasters

A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious

resultNo
3 comments
28 forecasters

When will U.S. law recognize an artificial entity as a natural person?

Current estimate
Jan 2047