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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
4
1
1
comment
2
comments
18
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
02 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
9
1
1
comment
3
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
62.7%
3
comments
44
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
34.8%
OpenAI
23.9%
Other
16.3%
3 others
25%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
3
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0
comments
103
forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?
75%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
10
comments
3
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
8
comments
9
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 9 hours
condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
1
1
comment
2
2
forecasters
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