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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

4
11 comment
2 comments
18 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
02 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

9
11 comment
3 comments
37 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
62.7%
3 comments
44 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet34.8%
OpenAI23.9%
Other16.3%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

3
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0 comments
103 forecasters

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments
3 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
8 comments
9 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

Current estimate
Revealed in 9 hours
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

11 comment
2
2 forecasters