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1 1 comment

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

20.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

81 forecasters

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Latest estimate

231T digits

This question is closed for forecasting.

15 comments

29 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate

Revealed

tomorrow

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments

3 forecasters

Will the Giant Panda become extinct before 2100?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 2 days

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 3 days

2 comments

How much will developers using AI slowdown/speedup in METR's second impact study?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 3 days

5 comments

6 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)

99%chance

15.4% today