0 comments
107 forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11.4%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2 comments
42 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 01:47
2 comments
1 forecaster
Will another manuscript with the Tale of Igor's Campaign be found before 2076?
Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days
0 comments
1 forecaster
Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
0 comments
104 forecasters
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
15.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.