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Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

5
1717 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

15
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
84 forecasters

What will be the value of "ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index Option-Adjusted Spread" on 2025-09-22?

Latest estimate
1.54 Percent

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
84 forecasters

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for October 2025?

Latest estimate
62.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

37.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?

88%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Conservative)

Latest estimate
145 seats

This question is closed for forecasting.

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
9 comments
51 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

4 comments
7 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura99%