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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

7
11 comment
2 comments
29 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
6 comments
56 forecasters

Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?

99.9%chance
35.4% this week
2 comments
43 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

93%chance
38% today
2 comments
43 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
2 comments
7 forecasters

Will tooth cavities rise in US states that have removed fluoride in water before 2031?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
10 comments
6 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments
47 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow