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7
11 comment
2 comments
7 forecasters

Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?

99%chance
49% this week
0 comments
101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

11 comments
78 forecasters

Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?

Someone else73.6%
Arjun Erigaisi20.1%
Wei Yi5.6%
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
81 forecasters

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

Latest estimate
231T digits

This question is closed for forecasting.

6 comments
6 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)

resultYes
4 comments
1 forecaster

How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
93 forecasters

How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)

Latest estimate
1.18 pp

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
93 forecasters

How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)

Latest estimate
1.68 pp

This question is closed for forecasting.