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7
1
1
comment
2
comments
7
forecasters
Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?
99%
chance
49%
this week
0
comments
101
forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
11
comments
78
forecasters
Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?
Someone else
73.6%
Arjun Erigaisi
20.1%
Wei Yi
5.6%
7 others
1%
0
comments
6
forecasters
Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
0
comments
81
forecasters
What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?
Latest estimate
231T digits
This question is closed for forecasting.
6
comments
6
forecasters
Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)
result
Yes
4
comments
1
forecaster
How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
0
comments
93
forecasters
How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)
Latest estimate
1.18 pp
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
93
forecasters
How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)
Latest estimate
1.68 pp
This question is closed for forecasting.
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