0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11.4%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
99 forecasters
What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 48E (ITC) clean electricity tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?
2027-2028 sunset w/ safe harbor30%
2025-2026 sunset w/ safe harbor23.4%
No sunset reduction before 202620.7%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
7%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
105 forecasters
In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents?
25%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2 comments
37 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.