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1
comment
22
forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
2%
chance
1.8%
this week
21
comments
124
forecasters
Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?
12%
chance
3%
this week
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
2
comments
94
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
1
comment
25
forecasters
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
Conventional
90.2%
Air-breathing
2.1%
Thermal rockets
1.2%
6 others
6%
4
comments
32
forecasters
Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?
result
No
61
comments
34
forecasters
Will Planet Nine be discovered before September 30, 2024?
result
No
16
comments
109
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
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