Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
16
comments
108
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
2
comments
79
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
11
comments
130
forecasters
Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?
55%
chance
1
comment
46
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?
0.3%
chance
0.7%
this week
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
4
comments
32
forecasters
Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?
result
No
5
comments
18
forecasters
Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?
53%
chance
0
comments
47
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
24
comments
301
forecasters
To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?
result
No
22
comments
199
forecasters
Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?
52%
chance
Load More