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1
comment
23
forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
1%
chance
0.8%
this week
2
comments
95
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
20
comments
20
forecasters
How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?
Current estimate
0.541 AU
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?
5%
chance
21
comments
124
forecasters
Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?
14%
chance
11
comments
131
forecasters
Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere before 2030?
55%
chance
4
comments
42
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
14%
chance
3
comments
9
forecasters
When will there be a round trip crewed mission to Jupiter's orbit?
Current estimate
2076
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