Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
2
comments
59
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
1
comment
23
forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
1%
chance
20
comments
20
forecasters
How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?
Current estimate
0.568 AU
24
comments
301
forecasters
To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?
result
No
0
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?
Current estimate
1018 events
61
comments
34
forecasters
Will Planet Nine be discovered before September 30, 2024?
result
No
16
comments
170
forecasters
To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?
result
No
Sagan Space Commenting Prize Winners
7
5
5
comments
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Load More