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23
comments
153
forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?
Current estimate
2077
10
comments
95
forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
Current estimate
Sep 2051
4
comments
66
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
3
comments
80
forecasters
Will the XENON1T experiment report a detection of dark matter or other new physics before 2023?
result
No
7
comments
32
forecasters
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?
00
31
comments
212
forecasters
Will radical new "low-energy nuclear reaction" technologies prove effective before 2019?
result
No
14
comments
7
forecasters
When will a rechargeable battery with capacity 750 Wh/kg be available for purchase?
Current estimate
Dec 2030
8
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
5
comments
5
forecasters
When will a muon collider turn on with a center-of-mass beam energy ≥1 TeV?
Current estimate
Jan 2048
6
comments
5
forecasters
When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?
Current estimate
2076
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