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4
comments
67
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
12
comments
110
forecasters
Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?
result
No
23
comments
153
forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?
Current estimate
2075
10
comments
96
forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
Current estimate
Oct 2051
7
comments
32
forecasters
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?
00
3
comments
80
forecasters
Will the XENON1T experiment report a detection of dark matter or other new physics before 2023?
result
No
8
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
5
comments
5
forecasters
When will a muon collider turn on with a center-of-mass beam energy ≥1 TeV?
Current estimate
Jan 2048
14
comments
7
forecasters
When will a rechargeable battery with capacity 750 Wh/kg be available for purchase?
Current estimate
Nov 2030
11
comments
31
forecasters
Do we live in a false vacuum?
50%
chance
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