Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

1 1 comment

2 comments

1 forecaster

How many nations will be net zero emissions on January 1st 2035?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 2 days

0 comments

89 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Latest estimate

1731 deaths

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?

45%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

86 forecasters

Will the 2025 North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) be at least 110.0 units by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025?

63.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

87 forecasters

On TRAC’s December 21, 2025 snapshot, will ICE’s total detained population be at least 60,000?

65%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Hugging Face)

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

100 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.