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US Democracy Index

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Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

80%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

16 comments

68 forecasters

When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved for sale in the US?

Current estimate

23 Feb 2026

10 comments

22 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

Current estimate

97.4B billion animals

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

2 forecasters

Will the US Congress Pass The Farm Bill by Jan 1st. 2026?

37.5%chance

0 comments

85 forecasters

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

9 comments

7 forecasters

Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?

65%chance

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

1 forecaster

Will There Be National Clean Meat Legislation in the US by Jan 20, 2029?

No National Legislation60%

Prohibits30%

Legalizes10%

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will An American State Ban Factory Farming by 2030?

12%chance

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

1 forecaster

How many Pro-Animal Future city chapters will there be by the end of 2026?

3-4 Chapters64.6%

0-2 Chapters15.1%

5-6 Chapters10.1%

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

1 forecaster

How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?

0-284.7%

3-410%

5-65%