Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
0
comments
106
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
44
comments
436
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%
chance
21
comments
309
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%
chance
2
comments
59
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
8
comments
46
forecasters
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?
Crewed spaceflight
24.4
Space station visits
19.2
Lunar exploration
4.85
1
comment
23
forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
1%
chance
18
comments
124
forecasters
A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?
result
No
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
15
comments
282
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%
chance
Load More