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0 comments
101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

20.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
95 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Latest estimate
40.7M birds

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
106 forecasters

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments
46 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Winners announced!)

community
04 Nov 2025 23:08
result
04 Nov 2025 16:45
0 comments
105 forecasters

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
105 forecasters

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?"?

27%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
106 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.