0 comments
99 forecasters
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
37.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
98 forecasters
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
93.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
92 forecasters
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
30%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
96 forecasters
Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025?
62.8%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
90 forecasters
Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025? (China)
75%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
88 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"?
resultNo
111 comments
127 forecasters
What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?
Latest estimate
83.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
89 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 45.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?"?
resultYes