0 comments
82 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-09-26 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?
43.1%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-25 for the Metaculus question "Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?"?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
4 comments
11 forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
84 comments
81 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?"?
resultYes
85 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 52.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Before 2029, will a new international organization focused on AI safety be established with participation from at least three G7 countries?"?
resultNo
75 comments
74 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 17.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?"?
resultNo