Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
7
1
1
comment
0
comments
100
forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
22.8%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
101
forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
99
forecasters
Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?
20%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
15
comments
31
forecasters
What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
11
comments
77
forecasters
Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?
Someone else
72.9%
Arjun Erigaisi
19.4%
Wei Yi
7.1%
7 others
1%
4
comments
1
forecaster
How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
0
comments
Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
0
comments
93
forecasters
How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)
Latest estimate
1.68 pp
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
93
forecasters
How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)
Latest estimate
1.18 pp
This question is closed for forecasting.
Load More