0 comments
96 forecasters
Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025?
72%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
96 forecasters
Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025?
62.8%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
91 forecasters
What percent of all US foreign development assistance for FY 2025 will be disbursed relative to funds allocated at the beginning of the fiscal year?
Latest estimate
106%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
90 forecasters
Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025? (China)
75%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
87 forecasters
What will be the result of the game between IM Levy Rozman Vs The World?
Draw46.1%
Rozman loss33.6%
Rozman victory20.4%
This question is closed for forecasting.
88 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"?
resultNo
0 comments
88 forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
20%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
4 comments
8 forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
89 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 45.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?"?
resultYes