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By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
36%
356 forecasters
55
18 comments
18
Ragnarök Series
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
30.25%
AI-Fizzle
29.73%
AI-Dystopia
19.38%
2 others
31
160 comments
160
AGI Outcomes
Are we in a simulated reality? Part I
Resolved :
No
146 forecasters
24
19 comments
19
Are we in a simulated reality? Part II
Closed
281 forecasters
1
22 comments
22
Playing God Question Series
7
no comments
0
Playing God Series
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
36.9%
371 forecasters
38
40 comments
40
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: overview
14
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
57%
230 forecasters
21
13 comments
13
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34 comments
34
Ragnarök Series
The black swan
16
56 comments
56
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