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6 comments
46 forecasters

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

351.7%
236.9%
410.1%
23 comments
157 forecasters

Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

resultNo
80 comments
621 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

35%chance
5% this week
75 comments
140 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate
>125 billion $
15 comments
165 forecasters

How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?

2 comments
59 forecasters

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

SpaceX65%
NASA25%
CNSA15%
3 comments
46 forecasters

Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?

65%chance
15 comments
165 forecasters

Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?

resultNo
42 comments
6 forecasters

Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach low-Earth orbit by Sept 30, 2024?

resultYes
93 comments
726 forecasters

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

resultNo