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6
comments
46
forecasters
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
51.7%
2
36.9%
4
10.1%
3 others
1%
23
comments
157
forecasters
Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?
result
No
80
comments
621
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
35%
chance
5%
this week
75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
15
comments
165
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
3
comments
46
forecasters
Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?
65%
chance
15
comments
165
forecasters
Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?
result
No
42
comments
6
forecasters
Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach low-Earth orbit by Sept 30, 2024?
result
Yes
93
comments
726
forecasters
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
result
No
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