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6
comments
46
forecasters
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
51.7%
2
36.9%
4
10.1%
3 others
1%
75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
15
comments
165
forecasters
Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?
result
No
42
comments
6
forecasters
Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach low-Earth orbit by Sept 30, 2024?
result
Yes
46
comments
25
forecasters
Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach reach an altitude of 160 kilometers by Sept 30, 2024?
Annulled
43
comments
24
forecasters
Will exactly 2 or 3 Starship launches reach reach an altitude of 160 kilometers by Sept 30, 2024?
Annulled
14
comments
108
forecasters
Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
17%
chance
49
comments
30
forecasters
Will exactly 1 Starship launch reach an altitude of 160 kilometers between July 1, 2024 and Sept 30, 2024?
result
No
81
comments
344
forecasters
In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit?
result
No
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