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0
comments
99
forecasters
Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
8
comments
19
forecasters
Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?
An uncrewed craft
80%
At least one person
40%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
20%
1 other
32
comments
60
forecasters
When will SpaceX be taken public?
Current estimate
Nov 2031
81
comments
624
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
20
comments
99
forecasters
When will SpaceX launch humans around the Moon?
Current estimate
09 Jan 2029
8
comments
53
forecasters
Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?
result
Yes
14
comments
266
forecasters
Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?
0.1%
chance
8
comments
63
forecasters
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
95%
4
4.6%
0
0.1%
3 others
0%
75
comments
141
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
5
comments
12
forecasters
What will be Arianespace's revenue (2021 EUR) in 2025?
Current estimate
1.24B €
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