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6
comments
46
forecasters
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
51.7%
2
36.9%
4
10.1%
3 others
1%
23
comments
157
forecasters
Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?
result
No
75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
15
comments
165
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
6
comments
20
forecasters
Which manufacturer's vehicle will return astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore to Earth from the ISS?
One or both remain in space beyond August 30
result:
Yes
Boeing
80.8%
SpaceX
10.4%
2 others
1%
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
15
comments
165
forecasters
Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?
result
No
123
comments
2.5k
forecasters
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
17%
chance
14
comments
266
forecasters
Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?
0.1%
chance
42
comments
6
forecasters
Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach low-Earth orbit by Sept 30, 2024?
result
Yes
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