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1 comment
17 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
AMEC30%
5 comments
37 forecasters

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm90%
≤2 nm49.4%
5 comments
82 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

49%chance
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?

205078%
204047%
203015%

When Will We See Real Nanotechnology?

20
11 comment
9 comments
182 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

2%chance