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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?

35% chance

0 comments
135
135 forecasters
35%chance

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? โ†’ Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?

6
0 comments
25
25 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

3.5% chance

16
1717 comments
227
227 forecasters
3.5%chance

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

7% chance

46
8282 comments
399
399 forecasters
7%chance

Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?

result: no

5
106106 comments
205
205 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

23
9494 comments
189
189 forecasters

What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022?

1.27M (1.21M - 1.36M)

6
1515 comments
145
145 forecasters
Resolved1.17522M

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

result: yes

30
221221 comments
357
357 forecasters
ResolvedYes

Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024?

result: no

19
6666 comments
791
791 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

12% chance

20
4242 comments
152
152 forecasters
12%chance

Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024?

result: yes

19
4646 comments
175
175 forecasters
ResolvedYes

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

18
1818 comments
105
105 forecasters

Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?

18% chance

56
201201 comments
2.5k
2.5k forecasters
18%chance

ะฏะบะต ะผั–ัั†ะต ะพั‚ั€ะธะผะฐั” ะฃะบั€ะฐั—ะฝะฐ ะฝะฐ ะ„ะฒั€ะพะฑะฐั‡ะตะฝะฝั–-2025?

0 comments
1
1 forecaster

Will Ukraine's inflation rate increase to at least 15.0% for April 2025?

result: yes

6969 comments
62
62 forecasters
ResolvedYes

Will Ukraine's government debt be at least 1.90 trillion UAH in March 2025?

result: no

6666 comments
62
62 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Taurus Missile for Ukraine in 2024? โ†’ Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025?

2
22 comments
20
20 forecasters

What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024?

5.52 (4.99 - 6.11)

3
44 comments
22
22 forecasters
Resolved4.9

Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?

result: no

15
4040 comments
383
383 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?

99% chance

9
1414 comments
109
109 forecasters
99%chance

Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023? โ†’ Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

2
0 comments
20
20 forecasters

Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?

result: yes

5
55 comments
73
73 forecasters
ResolvedYes