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16
comments
197
forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2%
chance
90
comments
188
forecasters
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
85%
13 others
62
comments
389
forecasters
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
0.5%
chance
46
comments
175
forecasters
Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024?
result
Yes
74
comments
385
forecasters
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
10%
chance
8
comments
73
forecasters
Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?
1%
chance
18
comments
98
forecasters
Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Nova Kakhovka
6.5%
Tokmak
4%
Polohy
4%
11 others
66
comments
791
forecasters
Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024?
result
No
41
comments
151
forecasters
Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
15%
chance
condition
Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024?
Resolved:
No
25
forecasters
if yes
if no
Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?
13%
13%
Resolved:
Annulled
Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?
2%
2%
6
0
comments
25
25
forecasters
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