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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
16 comments
197 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2%chance
90 comments
188 forecasters

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske99%
Velyka Novosilka99%
Kostyantynivka85%
62 comments
389 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

0.5%chance
46 comments
175 forecasters

Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024?

resultYes
74 comments
385 forecasters

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

10%chance
8 comments
73 forecasters

Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?

1%chance
18 comments
98 forecasters

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Nova Kakhovka6.5%
Tokmak4%
Polohy4%
66 comments
791 forecasters

Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024?

resultNo
41 comments
151 forecasters

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

15%chance
condition

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved:No
25 forecasters
if yes
if no

Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?

13%
13%
Resolved:Annulled

Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?

2%
2%
6
0 comments
25
25 forecasters