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2
comments
22
forecasters
Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?
20%
chance
15
comments
196
forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2%
chance
1k
comments
862
forecasters
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?
result
No
18
comments
97
forecasters
Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Nova Kakhovka
7.6%
Tokmak
4%
Polohy
4%
11 others
1
comment
49
forecasters
Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?
result
No
90
comments
337
forecasters
Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?
result
No
62
comments
386
forecasters
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
1%
chance
105
comments
242
forecasters
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
0.2%
chance
8
comments
74
forecasters
Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?
1%
chance
90
comments
187
forecasters
Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
85%
13 others
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