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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
22 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

20%chance
15 comments
196 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2%chance
1k comments
862 forecasters

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?

resultNo
18 comments
97 forecasters

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Nova Kakhovka7.6%
Tokmak4%
Polohy4%
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

resultNo
90 comments
337 forecasters

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

resultNo
62 comments
386 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

1%chance
105 comments
242 forecasters

Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?

0.2%chance
8 comments
74 forecasters

Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?

1%chance
90 comments
187 forecasters

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske99%
Velyka Novosilka99%
Kostyantynivka85%