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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
15 comments
195 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

1.1%chance
2 comments
23 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

20%chance
1k comments
862 forecasters

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?

resultNo
18 comments
98 forecasters

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Nova Kakhovka6.5%
Tokmak4%
Polohy4%
62 comments
387 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

0.7%chance
90 comments
337 forecasters

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

resultNo
90 comments
187 forecasters

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Ivanivske99%
Velyka Novosilka99%
Kostyantynivka85%
105 comments
204 forecasters

Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?

0.1%chance
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

resultNo
condition

Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?

Resolved:No
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

20%
20%
Resolved:Annulled

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

3%
3%
2
0 comments
20
20 forecasters