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Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

no comments0

The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic

no comments0

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

27%chance
4.2% this week

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

resultNo

Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?

resultNo

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Mar 2052

Pandemic Metaculus and new moderators

7
7 comments7
Metaculus Meta

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Sep 2045

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives