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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
4 comments4
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

4.3%chance

How many additional H5N1 infections will be reported in wild birds across the United States by the end of March 2023?

result141

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

21 to 100result: Yes
More than 100result: No
0result: No
and 2 others

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

resultNo

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?

resultNo

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

116
cases
35.1 cases this week

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1.5%chance

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

1.5%chance
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

15%
15%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
7 comments7
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25