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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.56
Flu9.77
COVID-194.06
and 1 other

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Combinedresult: 19.4 per 100k
Fluresult: 13.6 per 100k
COVID-19result: 4.2 per 100k
and 1 other

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

6%chance
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

23 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

15%
15%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
7 comments7
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

20 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.709

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.04
10 comments10
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

no comments0

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

66%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance