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⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

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Metaculus Journal Archives

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

resultNo

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Ambiguous

Clinical trials of a "universal" snakebite antidote?

resultNo

Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?

resultNo

Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?

resultNo

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

resultNo

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

resultYes

Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?

resultNo

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%chance