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What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
8 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
9 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
64.6
19.7 this week
14 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
2030-10-01
57 forecasters
16
6 comments
6
Will a small Turing machine (< 100 states) be found with behavior that cannot be characterized by mathematical proof?
Resolved :
No
25%
62 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
Hutter prize: when will a compression method achieve 1 bit-per-character on a 100MB sample of Wikipedia?
Closed
2024-03-21
91 forecasters
14
34 comments
34
Will chess be "weakly solved" by 2035?
Closed
10%
204 forecasters
26
9 comments
9
Does P = NP?
4%
273 forecasters
35
21 comments
21
When will the Collatz Conjecture be resolved?
2054-04-12
75 forecasters
14
16 comments
16
Is the Collatz Conjecture true?
95%
165 forecasters
21
28 comments
28
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