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Does P = NP?

3%chance

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

06 Nov 2029

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

08 Apr 2027

When will we know whether the Shannon capacity of a 7-cycle is equal to the Theta function of the 7-cycle?

2089

Computability and Complexity

16
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?

In 2023 will AI win a programming competition?

resultNo

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

resultNo

Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?

12
13 comments13