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Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

50%chance
14% this week

Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5
2 comments2
AI Progress Essay Contest

Substance is all you need.

2
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec

no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Human-Level Language Models

36
16 comments16

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm90%
≤2 nm49.4%

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services8%
Microsoft Azure7%
and 1 other

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10
1 comment1
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