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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

5
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

5
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025?

resultNo
condition

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2027, according to Zillow?

0

What will the year-over-year increase in rent be in New York City in December 2027, according to Zillow?

1.88
1
no comments0

What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?

Key Factor

Many 6 months and 1 year holdings prone to being sold in the next months

746B $
→←4.12B $ this week

Key Factor

Many 6 months and 1 year holdings prone to being sold in the next months

Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

63%chance
27% this week
condition

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

What will be the year-over-year growth in the number of employed people in New York City for these years? (2026)

1.54

What will be the year-over-year growth in the number of employed people in New York City for these years? (2026)

1.51
no comments0

Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?

resultYes

Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup