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Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?

Key Factor

Either Medina or Quiroga very likely to win the first round

Samuel Doria Medina42.4%
Jorge Quiroga26.2%
Andrónico Rodríguez21.2%
and 5 others

Key Factor

Either Medina or Quiroga very likely to win the first round

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
and 3 others

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner30%
Keir Starmer20%
Andy Burnham15%
and 6 others

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

no comments0

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
and 12 others

[PRACTICE] Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Jordan BardellaAnnulled
Édouard PhilippeAnnulled
Marine Le PenAnnulled
and 6 others

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

5
1 comment1
Academy Summer Series

The 20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

18
48 comments48
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

Fall 2020 Metaculus Moderator Election

11
25 comments25
Metaculus Meta

2021 Spring Equinox Moderator Election

7
19 comments19
Metaculus Meta