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Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

[Short Fuse] Will the vote of no confidence in Michel Barnier's government pass in the French National Assembly?

resultNo

Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?

20%chance
5% this week

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.9%chance

Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt?

resultYes

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

21%chance

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No
and 4 others

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
and 4 others

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro95%
North Macedonia85%
Albania82.5%
and 17 others

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

NSCresult: No
VVDresult: No
PvdA-GLresult: No
and 4 others