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Contributed by the QH Forecasting Community community.

Will Andrew Cuomo win the New York City Mayor's race?

Key Factor

Crime in NYC

10%chance
65% this week

Key Factor

Crime in NYC

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
and 14 others

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner30%
Keir Starmer20%
Andy Burnham15%
and 6 others

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

Wisconsinresult: Yes
New Mexicoresult: Yes
Montanaresult: Yes
and 6 others

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other45.9%
Gavin Newsom13.6%
Josh Shapiro11.5%
and 5 others

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%chance

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
and 13 others