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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
and 13 others

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
and 12 others

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

no comments0

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Key Factor

trumps health

21%chance

Key Factor

trumps health

Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?

resultYes

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

8
20 comments20

How do we operationalize whether the US will experience a constitutional crisis/widespread unrest after 2020 elections?

14
30 comments30