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New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

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POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

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Metaculus Journal Archives

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
and 14 others

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

JD Vance44.8%
Other31.4%
Marco Rubio9.9%
and 5 others

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other45.9%
Gavin Newsom13.6%
Josh Shapiro11.5%
and 5 others

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
and 13 others

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
and 3 others

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others