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New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

17.5%chance

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
and 14 others

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?

Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions?

resultNo

What will be RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election?

result-3.053

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other45.9%
Gavin Newsom13.6%
Josh Shapiro11.5%
and 5 others

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
and 13 others