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New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
11 comments11
POTUS Predictions

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

57%chance

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
and 14 others

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

00

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

no comments0

Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

The 20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

18
48 comments48
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest