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Contributed by the Adjacent community.

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

90%chance
20% this week

When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?

Dec 2030

What Is the Future of American Financial Surveillance?

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes
and 2 others

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

56%chance

Another significant cryptocurrency split during November 2017?

resultYes

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

resultYes

Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024?

resultNo

What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)

5560
billion $

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

299
months