• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

resultYes

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

7%chance
3% today

Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

resultNo

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

25%chance
14% this week

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

resultNo

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

50%chance
5% this week

Before July 1, 2025, will the United States accuse Russia of invading any country other than Ukraine?

resultNo

Will the Indian Armed Forces execute a kinetic attack in Pakistan proper in June 2025?

resultNo

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

12%chance
8% this week

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

100result: Yes
1,000result: Yes
3,00013%