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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

resultYes
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

2%chance
8% this week

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance

Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

resultNo

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

25%chance
10% this week

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

48%chance

Will the United States accuse the People's Republic of China of invading Taiwan before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025?

resultYes