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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Key Factor

The scalability of technology is going to be the biggest key factor which will decide the winner

Gary Marcus win80.9%
Nathan Young win17%
Other2.1%

Key Factor

The scalability of technology is going to be the biggest key factor which will decide the winner

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Pokrovsk14%
Myrnohrad10%
Kostiantynivka7%
and 1 other
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?

Key Factor

Other countries primarily supplying Ukraine

076.1%
115.7%
26.1%
and 2 others

Key Factor

Other countries primarily supplying Ukraine

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

resultYes

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

Forecast revealed tomorrow