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Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?

←→294.7 percentage points this week

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

1,000result: Yes

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda