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Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Pokrovsk15%
Myrnohrad11%
Kostiantynivka8%
and 1 other
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

resultNo

Before July 1, 2025, will the United States accuse Russia of invading any country other than Ukraine?

resultNo

If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?

Less than 30 days51.2%
91 days or more22.3%
61-90 days12.3%
and 2 others

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

resultYes

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

23%chance

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
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