• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

12%chance
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

6 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

25%
25%

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

8%
8%
1 comment1

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

resultYes

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

29%chance
19% this week

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

2%chance

Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

resultNo

Key Factor

Verification of India's claim of killing 100+ militants

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

20%chance
5% this week

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

7%chance
3% this week

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

100result: Yes
1,000result: Yes
3,00010%