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Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

How many suicides will children and adolescents (0-19 years) commit in 2025?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

4
16 comments16
Metaculus Journal Archives

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

1%chance

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

75%chance

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

75%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

7%chance