• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

Will An American State Ban Factory Farming by 2030?

12%chance

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?

0-254.9%
3-427%
5-610%
and 3 others

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

27%chance

Animal Welfare Series: clean meat

16
4 comments4
Animal Welfare Series

Animal Welfare Series

11
2 comments2
Animal Welfare Series

Animal Welfare Series: plant-based meat

3
1 comment1
Animal Welfare Series

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

32.9
million

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?

33
million cattle

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

6.4
animals

How many thousand cattle will be slaughtered in Australia in Q4 2020?

result1562.7